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Patna: The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has delivered an unexpected political twist in the Muslim-dominated Seemanchal region. As counting trends continue to unfold, the NDA appears to be sweeping the region—an outcome largely attributed to the vote-cutting impact of Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM.

According to early trends available till 11 AM, the NDA is leading on nearly 20 out of 24 Assembly seats in Seemanchal, a region traditionally considered a stronghold of the Mahagathbandhan. The swing in voter sentiment is being widely credited to the significant vote share AIMIM has managed to attract, denting the RJD–Congress alliance.

AIMIM’s Influence Shakes Up Seemanchal Dynamics

AIMIM had won five seats in the 2020 Assembly elections, although most of its MLAs later switched sides to join RJD. Despite that setback, Owaisi campaigned aggressively in Seemanchal this year, focusing on Muslim representation and alleging that secular parties had long taken the community for granted.

His message seems to have resonated. Muslim voters across multiple constituencies appear to have shifted towards AIMIM, splitting the traditional Mahagathbandhan vote bank and indirectly paving the way for NDA’s strong performance.

NDA Gains Big in a Region Once Seen as Weak

Seemanchal comprises Kishanganj, Araria, Purnia, and Katihar districts, where Muslim voters range from 30% to 65%. Despite NDA being perceived as weak here, the current trends show a dramatic shift.

• BJP is contesting 11 seats
• JD(U) 10 seats
• LJP 3 seats
• AIMIM 15 seats

Congress is contesting 12 seats and RJD 9 seats in this region.

Key Seat-Wise Highlights (Till 11 AM Trends)

Amour

• JD(U)’s Saba Zafar leads with 13,566 votes
• AIMIM’s Akhtarul Iman follows with 11,575 votes
• Congress’ Abdul Jalil Mastan lags far behind

Bahadurganj

• LJP’s Mohammad Kaleemuddin leads with 10,701 votes
• AIMIM’s Md. Tausif Alam: 7,183 votes
• Congress again pushed to 3rd position

Baisi

• AIMIM’s candidate leads with 9,759 votes, ahead of BJP’s Vinod Kumar
• RJD trailing at a distant third

Jokihat

• JD(U)’s Manzar Alam leads with a massive margin of 8,525 votes
• AIMIM’s candidate in the second position
• RJD far behind

Kochadhaman

• AIMIM’s Md. Sarwar Alam leads with 15,371 votes
• RJD’s Mujahid Alam in close contest
• BJP’s Beena Devi in third place

Why Seemanchal Shift Matters

Seemanchal has historically been a Mahagathbandhan bastion due to its high Muslim population. This time, however, AIMIM’s direct appeal to Muslim voters has fractured the alliance’s vote bank—giving NDA an unprecedented advantage.

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Note:

These results are based on trends recorded till 11 AM, and numbers may shift as counting continues.

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