Saturday, November 15

After Bihar Defeat, INDIA Bloc Hits a Roadblock: Will Congress Return to ‘Sacrifice Mode’?


New Delhi: After the heavy setback in the Bihar Assembly Elections, the INDIA alliance finds itself at a critical crossroads. The opposition bloc, which emerged as a symbol of unity before the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, now faces mounting questions about its coherence, strategy and future relevance. The central dilemma: Is it time to reimagine the very idea of ‘INDIA’?


INDIA Bloc: From 2024 Momentum to Post-Election Doubts

After suffering crushing defeats in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections, opposition parties rallied together before the 2024 general elections to form the INDIA bloc — a strategic alliance that made a notable impact nationwide. In several states, the bloc put up a strong challenge to the ruling BJP-led NDA.

However, subsequent state elections exposed deep fissures. Member parties frequently clashed on seat-sharing and candidate selections, signalling internal rivalries that weakened the alliance’s presence on the ground.


Bihar Results: A Major Blow to Opposition Unity

The Bihar Assembly election results dealt yet another jolt to the INDIA bloc.
As the NDA secured a historic victory, the opposition camp was left with serious introspection. The defeat raises vital questions:

  • Can the INDIA bloc survive competing ambitions within its fold?
  • Does the coalition need a complete conceptual redesign?

The alliance was built on a complex mix of regional players with conflicting interests. While attempts were made to create formulas for mutual support, ideological and political differences eventually resurfaced.


Where Did the Mahagathbandhan Falter?

The formula that worked last year in Jharkhand and Jammu & Kashmir failed to translate in Maharashtra, where infighting between Congress, Shiv Sena, and NCP undermined the coalition.

In Bihar, the RJD-led bloc had to balance Congress, Left parties, and smaller caste-based outfits while countering the BJP–JDU partnership. But coordination broke down.
Key factors behind the failure included:

  • Delayed joint strategy planning
  • Seat-sharing tensions, especially between Congress and RJD
  • Lack of trust among coalition partners

The result: a divided house in front of a highly organised NDA.


Ripple Effects: What It Means for Bengal and Tamil Nadu

The setback in Bihar comes at a time when the INDIA bloc is gearing up for major challenges in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.

Mamata Banerjee’s Clear Stance

West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee has already declared that Congress offers little electoral benefit in her state. She reminded Congress of 2024, when both parties contested against each other despite being part of the same national bloc.

Now the Congress must decide its primary target in Bengal:
Should it confront Mamata — or the BJP?
A large section of Bengal’s minority vote bank lies between TMC and Congress, complicating matters further.

Tamil Nadu: Friendly Tops, Frustrated Bottoms

In Tamil Nadu, Congress enjoys a solid understanding with DMK chief M.K. Stalin.
But local Congress leaders resent DMK’s “big brother attitude” and want the alliance terms renegotiated.

Congress argues that even an 8% vote share — coming from an AIADMK-led united opposition — can significantly alter the DMK’s prospects.


Will Congress Return to the Path of Sacrifice?

Many political observers believe Bihar’s loss is rooted in the erosion of mutual confidence within the Mahagathbandhan. From delayed campaigning to last-minute bargaining, the opposition seemed disjointed.

Experts now warn that if the INDIA bloc wants to rebuild momentum, Congress may have to once again adopt the strategy of accommodation and sacrifice, as it did in 2024 — accepting fewer seats for the larger survival of the coalition.

The question remains:
Is the Congress ready to step back for the sake of a stronger opposition front?


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